Tuesday 22 September 2026
All four big banks now tip an RBA hike next week
CBA and ANZ join NAB and Westpac in forecasting a cash rate rise next week, fixed mortgage rates climb across the big four, and new research tests the investor tax panic.
The rate conversation has turned. All four major banks are now forecasting the Reserve Bank will lift the cash rate next week, and fixed mortgage rates have already moved ahead of the decision. Further down: what 18 years of data says about the coming investor tax changes, why a 2027 valuation could matter, and who qualifies for Commonwealth Rent Assistance.
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01 rates
CBA and ANZ shift to a cash rate hike call for next week
Read the full story at InfoChoice GroupCommonwealth Bank and ANZ have moved their forecasts to an increase in the Reserve Bank cash rate at next week's meeting, putting all four major banks on the same side of the call alongside NAB and Westpac. ANZ goes further, expecting a second increase in November.
These are forecasts, not decisions, and the RBA has not signalled anything. But when every big four economics team lands in the same place a week out, borrowers on variable rates should be running the numbers on what a rise — and possibly a second one before Christmas — does to monthly repayments.
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02 lending
CommBank lifts fixed home loan rates, completing the big four
Read the full story at InfoChoice GroupCommonwealth Bank has raised its fixed home loan rates, the last of the major banks to do so after all four lifted fixed mortgage pricing over the past week.
Fixed rate moves usually run ahead of the cash rate rather than behind it, because they follow funding costs and market expectations. For anyone who has been sitting on a fixed rate quote, the cheap end of the market has just been repriced — and the timing sits squarely alongside the banks' own forecasts of an RBA increase next week.
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03 policy
Research says investor tax changes will bite less than feared
Read the full story at The ConversationNew research drawing on 18 years of data suggests the upcoming housing investor tax changes will have a milder effect than much of the commentary has assumed. The findings, published via The Conversation, do identify losers — retired investors are singled out as a group likely to be worse off.
That is one body of research rather than a verdict, and individual outcomes will turn on holding periods, income and how a portfolio is structured. Still, it is a useful counterweight for investors weighing whether to sell ahead of the changes, and worth raising with an accountant before any decision is locked in.
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04 policy
A 2027 valuation could pay for itself under the new CGT rules
Read the full story at Key MediaAustralia's capital gains tax reforms start on 1 July 2027. A formal property valuation at that point is not compulsory, but Key Media reports it could prove worth having when the property is eventually sold.
The logic is about evidence: a documented value at the changeover date gives an owner something concrete to work from when calculating a future gain, rather than reconstructing it years later. For investors holding long-term, it is a small, cheap piece of admin to diarise now.
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05 rentals
Rent assistance: who actually qualifies
Read the full story at InfoChoice GroupCommonwealth Rent Assistance is a government payment for renters struggling with housing costs, with eligibility tied to receiving certain other payments and to how much rent is being paid. InfoChoice has set out the basics of who can claim and how the payment works.
With rate pressure feeding through to landlords' costs, it is worth knowing the payment exists. Plenty of eligible households never apply, and agents and property managers field the question often enough to be worth knowing the answer.
This brief is compiled automatically from Australian news sources and reviewed before publication. Each item links to the original reporting, which remains the work of the publisher credited. General information only — not financial or investment advice.